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UL NO. 427: AI’s Predictable Future (Video)

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UL NO. 427: AI's Predictable Future (Video) 2

Unsupervised Learning is a security, AI, and meaning-focused newsletter that looks at how best to
thrive as humans in a world that’s changing faster than ever. It combines
original ideas and analysis to bring you not just what’s happening—
but why it matters, and how to respond.

TOC

NOTES

Hey there,

  • Going to keynote a conference in NYC this week! Excited to talk about
    AI, security, and hope for the post-AI future.

  • Conference season is spinning up. Can’t wait to see people. Things I
    have on deck. Numerous private panels/talks in the Bay Area, talk in
    NYC, Day of Shecurity, RSA, LocoMocoSec, EDC, big con in Switzerland,
    possibly others. And that will be enough for the year. The main goal is
    to not get Covid or Conflu this year.

  • Had a great time at BSides Milwaukee!

  • The soft launch of Threshold is going splendidly. I’m already getting
    MASSIVE benefits from using it myself, which is honestly my north star
    for the project. More on that in future posts/videos.

  • Fabric continues to thrive, and I continue to think about the ultimate
    agent framework. Right now it’s Crew.ai, but I wonder what the model
    companies are going to have as a response, e.g., Anthropic incorporating
    tools right into their prompts this week.

Ok, let’s get to it…

 

MY WORK

I finally turned my big, 9,000-word AI predictions essay into a full video!
It’s like 70 minutes long and includes lots of extra narration and detail
outside of the text.

Please pass it on to people who would love the content but who could never
get through a 9,000 word essay.


UL NO. 427: AI's Predictable Future (Video) 3

YouTube video by Unsupervised Learning


AI’s Predictable Path

SECURITY

Israel’s top spy chief, Yossi Sariel, accidentally revealed his identity
through an Amazon book sale linked to his real name.
MORE

The CVE and NVD databases are struggling to keep up with the massive number
of vulnerabilities being created, leading to gaps and inaccuracies. This
will need to get addressed somehow, but I’ve not heard any good suggestions.
MORE

In Montreal, criminals are using Apple’s AirTags to track and steal cars.
MORE

   

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 dropzone.ai/use-case/cloud


See a Demo of It Working on a Real Alert

   

Panera Bread’s week-long IT downtime incident was a ransomware attack.
MORE 

CISA’s new High-Risk Communities webpage offers cyber hygiene guides,
volunteer support, and discounted tools for organizations under cyber
threat.
MORE

   

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Explore Defendify Now

   

Israel’s military used an AI named Lavender to pinpoint 37,000 potential
Hamas targets, which is raising questions about the ethics of AI in warfare.
MORE

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TECHNOLOGY

There’s a rumor that Sam Altman and Jony Ive are building some sort of AI
wearable device through a new secret company.
MORE

OpenAI released improved ways of fine-tuning models.
MORE

📄 A new paper shows that adding more agents to large language models can
significantly boost their performance.
MORE

📄 This paper explores how AI might be leading us towards a ‘knowledge
collapse’ by oversimplifying complex information.
MORE

The U.S. is trying to get South Korea to stop chipmaking tool exports to
China.
MORE

The US is testing energy storage in heated sand, aiming for 135 MW power
output for five days straight.
MORE

Oura’s rolling out Symptom Radar to give you a nudge when your body’s
showing signs of strain, but it’s not calling it illness detection. For
obvious reasons.
MORE

Amazon’s ditching its cashierless “Just Walk Out” tech in Fresh stores for
Dash Carts, finding the futuristic checkout too costly and complex.
Disappointing. Too early I guess.
MORE

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HUMANS

New studies are showing that the wealthy are starting to have more kids than
the poor, reversing the previous trend.
MORE

NASA’s doing a live stream of the eclipse.
MORE
|
SPACEX STREAM

Despite a massive earthquake, TSMC’s crucial EUV equipment remained unharmed
because they have some wicked building stabilization tech. Production was
almost fully restored the same day.
MORE

The Israeli military dismissed two senior officers and reprimanded three
others for an airstrike that mistakenly killed seven World Central Kitchen
volunteers in Gaza.
MORE

The UK’s exporting workers to fill higher-paying US jobs.
MORE

U.S. venture capital investments plummeted to $36.6 billion in Q1 2024,
which is the lowest quarterly total since 2017.
MORE

   

💡I had a wonderful conversation with Mike Privette from Return on Security
about these VC and overall economic trends, which will be released
soon.

   

McKinsey’s offering UK employees nine months of pay to voluntarily leave the
company.
MORE

Gen-Z is going for trades like welding and plumbing over college and student
debt.
MORE

Home insurers are now using aerial images to decide who gets dropped from
coverage.
MORE

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IDEAS & ANALYSIS

Another View of Imposter Syndrome (Click for thread)

tw profile: ᴅᴀɴɪᴇʟ ᴍɪᴇssʟᴇʀ ☕️📚💡
ᴅᴀɴɪᴇʟ ᴍɪᴇssʟᴇʀ ☕️📚💡

@DanielMiessler
tw

Working harder isn’t the solution to imposter syndrome, in my opinion.

The solution is to work on big problems that are super important to
solve. That way your internal focus isn’t on you. Or your work.

It’s on the problem and what you can do to address it.

tw profile: Jamie Maguire | MVP in AI
Jamie Maguire | MVP in AI
@jamie_maguire1

Outwork your imposter syndrome.

 

9:43 PM • Apr 5, 2024

  

34 Likes  
3 Retweets  

4 Replies

Tyler Cowen vs. Jonathan Haidt on Teen Girl Depression
Well, I
never thought I’d see Tyler Cowen be wrong about something major. But I
think he did it here with Jonathan Haidt. He had Jonathan on the show and
massively disagreed with him about his research into teen (especially girl)
depression being caused by social media. Worth a watch.


UL NO. 427: AI's Predictable Future (Video) 3

YouTube video by Mercatus Center


Jonathan Haidt on Adjusting to Smartphones and Social Media | Conversations
with Tyler

The specific thing I think Tyler is getting wrong is the AI Mediation part,
which I have written about extensively. He’s right that we’ll have AI
mediation, but I think he’s wrong that it’ll work the way he thinks it will.

He seems to think that AI will stop young girls from browsing the most viral
and toxic content on social media, and it’ll just send her the summary
instead. Problem solved.

Um, no. That’s how HE will use it. And how I will use it. And how Jonathan
will use it. And probably you, too.

But for young people consuming viral and toxic content,
the content itself is the point, not the summary.

Does Tyler think AI will send people who love standup comedy a summary of
the jokes made in a given standup, as a substitute for going to comedy
shows?

   

🤖 Here’s your summary of this standup:

  • 3 jokes on women and stereotypes

  • 4 jokes on how clumsy he is

  • 2 playful racist jokes

  • 2 hecklers were addressed

  • Applause was 3/5 compared to other performers

We hope you’ve enjoyed this hilarious AI summary from ComixAI.

   

That doesn’t work for comedy, and it won’t work for young kids consuming
viral/toxic content. The only way that can work is if they had a draconic
blocker of all social media, and this was liked a service that summarized
the content.

But it wouldn’t be something the kids would install themselves, nor happily
use.

All that being said though, he is Tyler Cowen, so my chances of
misunderstanding him and/or being wrong here are higher than usual.

Deepfaked Content Summaries (Click for thread)

tw profile: ᴅᴀɴɪᴇʟ ᴍɪᴇssʟᴇʀ ☕️📚💡
ᴅᴀɴɪᴇʟ ᴍɪᴇssʟᴇʀ ☕️📚💡

@DanielMiessler
tw

Crap I just realized what the main interface for content is going to be
in the next few years.

Anything you put out as text, audio, slides or video will be extracted
into text, and AI will create multiple video deepfakes of it at
different depth levels.

1/n

 

4:02 PM • Apr 7, 2024

  

21 Likes  
2 Retweets  

1 Reply

AI and Music (Click for thread)

tw profile: ᴅᴀɴɪᴇʟ ᴍɪᴇssʟᴇʀ ☕️📚💡
ᴅᴀɴɪᴇʟ ᴍɪᴇssʟᴇʀ ☕️📚💡

@DanielMiessler
tw

It’s weird that people think AI is going to ruin music.

It’s like they forgot about pop, which is little more than few cords and
a hook.

Same with doing customer service, sales calls, etc.

We forget how low the bar is for being better than an average human.

 

3:06 PM • Apr 7, 2024

  

19 Likes  
0 Retweets  

3 Replies

DISCOVERY

🔥⚒️Luke Stephens (hakluke) put out an amazing blog on his evolving approach
to bug bounty automation. He talks about going from Bash, to Python, to
Golang, and then arriving at Cloud-native. Great piece.
MORE

🔥Thomas Roccia wrote an amazing piece on applying LLMs to Threat
Intelligence. Includes a full notebook for running agents using Langchain
that perform various TI tasks.
MORE
|
THE CODE NOTEBOOK

🛠️SWE-agent – Autonomously fixes
bugs in GitHub repos, showing a 12% success rate by leveraging language
models like GPT-4. By
Princeton Natural Language Processing
|
MORE

💻 Burr is a Python framework that simplifies building GenAI apps by
managing state with easy-to-use building blocks. | by
DAGWorks-Inc
 |
MORE

📖GIAM, a free open-source textbook, makes the art of mathematics
accessible, covering foundational topics and proof techniques, complete with
amusing chapter quotes.
MORE

⚙️ Gram turns threat modeling into a self-hosted web app, making it easier
for teams to collaborate on security. | by
Klarna-Incubator |
MORE

🔧 ChatGPT now lets you tweak images, like removing objects or changing
parts, just by describing what you want in the chat. |
MORE

🔧 Claude API’s new “tools” feature lets it tap into the internet, opening
up a world of data it couldn’t touch before. |
MORE

Kids are learning math from deepfake Taylor Swift and Drake on TikTok, and
it’s surprisingly effective.
MORE

   

💡
I’m honestly super excited for deepfakes for these types of use-cases.
Take the bad and find the good. Like, if kids absolutely love Taylor
Swift, or Star Wars, let’s use that for education, tutoring, therapy, etc.

We need to be careful with it, of course, and watch out for IP issues,
but there’s a lot of good that can come from this.

   

RECOMMENDATION OF THE WEEK

Check out one of
suno.ai’s top AI-generated songs.

Mozart On the Bass

You might not like it, but if you don’t, how different is it from other
stuff you don’t? Is it that much worse? And if you do like it, how much can
you tell it’s not human-generated?

APHORISM OF THE WEEK

❝  

Don’t explain your philosophy. Embody it.

  Epictetus  

Thank you for reading.

UL is a personal and strange combination of security, AI, and lots of human
content. And because it’s so diverse, it’s harder for it to go as viral as
something more niche.

So—if you know someone weird like us—please share it with them. 🫶 


Share UL with someone like us…

Happy to be sharing the planet with you,

UL NO. 427: AI's Predictable Future (Video) 5

May 23, 2025

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